Showing posts with label revolutions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label revolutions. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

LENIN AND GERMAN ASSISTANCE FOR THE BOLSHEVIK REVOLUTION



How the butterfly's wings change the course of history! If the Germans had not helped to move Lenin and his  team move from Switzerland into Petrograd and hence start the Russian Revolution, the first world war may have been shorter; but in all probability Russia may not have turned communist. What that would have meant for human history only a physicist who believes in alternative universes may be able to say; and maybe not even then!

From: http://reformed-theology.org/html/books/bolshevik_revolution/chapter_03.htm



"It was not until the Bolsheviks had received from us a steady flow of funds through various channels and under varying labels that they were in a position to be able to build up their main organ Pravda, to conduct energetic propaganda and appreciably to extend the originally narrow base of their party.

Von Kühlmann, minister of foreign affairs, to the kaiser, December 3, 1917


In April 1917 Lenin and a party of 32 Russian revolutionaries, mostly Bolsheviks, journeyed by train from Switzerland across Germany through Sweden to Petrograd, Russia. They were on their way to join Leon Trotsky to "complete the revolution." Their trans-Germany transit was approved, facilitated, and financed by the German General Staff. Lenin's transit to Russia was part of a plan approved by the German Supreme Command, apparently not immediately known to the kaiser, to aid in the disintegration of the Russian army and so eliminate Russia from World War I. The possibility that the Bolsheviks might be turned against Germany and Europe did not occur to the German General Staff. Major General Hoffman has written, "We neither knew nor foresaw the danger to humanity from the consequences of this journey of the Bolsheviks to Russia."1

At the highest level the German political officer who approved Lenin's journey to Russia was Chancellor Theobald von Bethmann-Hollweg, a descendant of the Frankfurt banking family Bethmann, which achieved great prosperity in the nineteenth century. Bethmann-Hollweg was appointed chancellor in 1909 and in November 1913 became the subject of the first vote of censure ever passed by the German Reichstag on a chancellor. It was Bethmann-Hollweg who in 1914 told the world that the German guarantee to Belgium was a mere "scrap of paper." Yet on other war matters — such as the use of unrestricted submarine warfare — Bethmann-Hollweg was ambivalent; in January 1917 he told the kaiser, "I can give Your Majesty neither my assent to the unrestricted submarine warfare nor my refusal." By 1917 Bethmann-Hollweg had lost the Reichstag's support and resigned — but not before approving transit of Bolshevik revolutionaries to Russia. The transit instructions from Bethmann-Hollweg went through the state secretary Arthur Zimmermann — who was immediately under Bethmann-Hollweg and who handled day-to-day operational details with the German ministers in both Bern and Copenhagen — to the German minister to Bern in early April 1917. The kaiser himself was not aware of the revolutionary movement until after Lenin had passed into Russia."

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Social media triggers revolutions

Social media - Twitter, Facebook, Sina Weibo, etc - was invented for people, usually young ones, to communicate with each other electronically. They have succeeded extremely well.


But the inventors could not have envisaged that SM users would use it to do more than chat about their daily lives and exchange their views about the best movies, restaurtants and sound tracks. They certainly could not have imagined that SM would have the unintended consequence to ignite revolutions, to change the world.

I am, of course, talking about the so-called Arab Spring, which started in Tunisia, moved to Egypt and Libya, causing regime changes that their citizens could not have imagined possible for many more years to come.  SM nearly caused changes in Yemen and Bahrain and may be doing so in Syria as well. See http://www.thenational.ae/news/uae-news/facebook-and-twitter-key-to-arab-spring-uprisings-report

There was both hope and fears that users of Sino Weibo would ignite a 'Jasmine Spring'. But that did not happen. Nevertheless, interactions have led to several dodgy factories being shut down or refused planning permission, several cases where persecution of dissidents or victims of miscarriages of justice by local authorities were overturned by central authorities. One does not know how much of the current moves by the Chinese Communist Party to rein in spending by officials, corruption, reversals of local injustices, exhortations to listen to the people, and even talk of major reform and move towards democracy is caused by or, at least, strengthened by SM interactions. By I am sure these interactions have not hindered such thinking and pronouncements. See http://chindia-alert.org/2012/05/19/how-chinas-300m-microbloggers-are-shaking-the-system/

Just as the invention of the printing press led to greater freedoms, either of religion or from political repression, so SM is proving to be another turn of the wheel towards greater awareness of wrongs and the garnering of popular support to overcome them. And just as the church in the Middle Ages could not stop the printing press, so today's authorities cannot stop SM. I'm afraid the 'rabbit is out of the hat' and Pandora's Box has been opened. No power on earth can get the rabbit back into the hat or shut Pandora's Box, at least not also getting SM back in it before shutting it.